• Worming toward greener living in Beijing

    BEIJING – Sixty-nine-year-old Zhou Xianqiang’s favorite hobby is recycling. A retired school teacher, Zhou makes her own handcrafts out of things usually dumped in trash cans – roses out of used red banners or hats out of milk cartons. Now she has a new toy: a crate full of thousands of earthworms in her little floral balcony.

    Some people may not like having 2,000 smelly, slimy worms at home. But dozens of families in the Dongsi neighborhood, in the heart of Beijing, have taken them in as part of an environmental challenge from the non-governmental organization, “Global Village.”
    Partially inspired by Mary Appelhof’s book “Worms Eat My Garbage” and with help from China Agricultural University, Global Village bought earthworms from a company in suburban Beijing and experimented with them for a few months before they delivered the little creatures to local residents.

    Each family participating in the project was given one crate that contains about 2,000 earthworms. Once bedding (shredded newspaper, cardboard or leaf mold) was made inside the crate, another crate was put on top because the worms prefer it dark and quiet.

    The top crate is also where food is placed, which could be cabbage slices, crunched egg shells or apples peels. Through holes on the bottom of the top crate, the toothless earthworms crawl up and grind the food with their gizzards by muscle action. In a few weeks owners can see the results: black manure-like compost that can serve as the perfect organic nutrients for flowers and plants.

    “We hope by raising earthworms the community can have its own cycle chain. Our short-term goal is for the families to get rid of the kitchen wastes, and then use the droppings to grow plants or vegetables,” said Zhang Qiang, program coordinator from Global Village.

    Since most modern families in Beijing live in apartment buildings and are busy leading fast paced lives running between home and work, Dongsi, the old courtyard area where you can still see hundred-year-old alleyways, seemed to be an ideal residence to start with the project.

    The elderly who choose to stay in the old neighborhood have the time and patience to take part in something new and share their experiences.

    Zhang and his colleagues hope to see a long-term project if things run smoothly. “We sure will encounter many problems, but we want to succeed. In the future, even if we pull out, I hope these local residents can spread the idea to other communities.”

    Show more
  • Flood aid slow to reach Pakistanis

    It's been three months since floods devastated Pakistan, leaving 20 million people in need. Although much of the water has receded, the United Nations says the situation remains "critically difficult." NBC's Ian Williams has returned to Charsadda in the north, where aid has been slow, and survivors are bracing for winter.

  • Europe 'dismayed' as midterms highlight Obama's struggles

    Andreas Rentz/Getty Images file

    Barack Obama received a warm reception during this rally in Berlin, Germany, in July 2008. Despite his problems at home, Obama remains broadly well-liked across Europe.

    By Marian Smith, msnbc.com

    LONDON – Before he was elected to the White House, Barack Obama drew 200,000 ecstatic fans during a 2008 visit to Berlin. Analysts predicted he would have easily been elected France's president if he had been a candidate there. And the day after Obama's election triumph, practically every U.K. newspaper splashed his picture across their front pages.

    Europe had fallen in love.

    Two years later, Obama is struggling at home. With the midterms looming, the president's approval rating is at just 47 percent and most indicators suggest that the Democrats will take a hit on Tuesday.

    Many Europeans don't get it.

    "They're very confused as to how [Americans] could vote for Obama and then two years later turn around and vote for a completely different set of policies," Sarah Oates, professor of political communication the University of Glasgow, told msnbc.com.

    When viewed from abroad, Obama's campaign promises of "hope" and "change" left Europeans expecting a fundamental shift in American politics.

    "[People here] are just dismayed," Oates added. "There's a real feeling of ... disappointment that it didn't signal the change they thought it would."

    Plummeting fortunes
    Normally, congressional elections don't resonate much abroad.

    But Europe's love affair with Obama – and interest in his plummeting fortunes – mean that midterms seem to be getting more coverage than usual in the U.K. and across the continent. In the wake of financial crisis, Europeans also wonder how the vote in America will affect the global economy.

    French and British newspapers have been covering the run-up to the vote for weeks, with Tuesday's showdown already occasionally making the front page. In Germany, TV news channels are reporting regularly on U.S. politics and newspaper editorials have focused on the Tea Party movement and the perception that conservatism is growing in America.

    On Thursday, the websites of the BBC and the London-based Guardian, Telegraph and Times newspapers all prominently featured stories about Obama's appearance on "The Daily Show."

    'He's not Mr Miracle'
    But with the economic crisis and wars in Iraq and Afghanistan casting a shadow over his presidency, Obama's reputation has also suffered abroad.

    "He is no longer seen as an icon, but as a politician who is doing his very best," said Christian Malard, senior foreign analyst on France 3 TV. "He is paying the price for the crisis. He's not Mr Miracle, he's not a prophet."

    However, Obama remains broadly well-liked and many Europeans think the disenchantment that many American voters have been expressing is unfair.

    "What he inherited was so enormous that no American president could have fixed it," Manfred Gortemaker, professor of modern history at Germany's University of Potsdam, told msnbc.com.

    Meanwhile, those who got caught up in the "Yes, we can" fever of 2008 simply want to know what will happen to their star.

    "Obama is like a movie character," said Nicole Bacharan, a historian, political analyst and associate researcher at the Institute of Political Studies in Paris. "There is something very romantic about him and his fate is something that people want to know. Why is this young, attractive, very smart president struggling?"

    Tea Party rhetoric
    Many Europeans are also wondering whether the Tea Party is simply a phenomenon born from the financial crisis, or whether its rise signals a broader, lasting, more radical conservative movement.

    "In all the French newspapers and magazines, people are writing, trying to figure it out," Bacharan said.

    While the economic downturn has sparked severe spending cuts from Ireland to Greece and renewed questions over European-style "big government", a Tea Party-like movement hasn't emerged on the continent.

    But Europeans have noticed that some opponents of the Tea Party are being demonized as "socialist". That rhetoric has at times included references to far more sinister chapters in history. An editorial in Germany's Der Spiegel newspaper last week slammed the Tea Party’s references to Adolf Hitler and Nazi Germany when criticizing the Obama administration’s policies as being irresponsible, flippant and ignorant.

    "The Holocaust was the result of murderous ideological fanaticism of the kind not to be found in leaders forced to face re-election every four years," the newspaper's editorial said. "It is hard to imagine even the most hard-bitten Tea Party activist sincerely believing that President Barack Obama wants to systematically murder over 6 million people like Adolf Hitler did. And that is necessarily the implication."

    Obama's more liberal policies also resonated with many Europeans. With polls suggesting the Democrats could lose control of the House, Professor Oates said the idea that many of his plans could potentially never come into effect baffles some people.

    "It's hard for them to understand the frailty of the American presidency," she said.

  • A museum dedicated to China's cruelest cut

    By NBC News’ Bo Gu

    BEIJING – It’s a small museum in a quiet and grubby village, and few people pay attention to it. Yet, despite its low profile, any man who walks into the little exhibition hall will no doubt feel a chill down his spine: it’s a museum dedicated to China’s 2,000-year history of eunuchs.

    Built in 1998 and recently refurbished, the museum sits next to a tomb for the high-ranking eunuch Tian Yi from the Ming Dynasty (1368-1644). In a space the size of a 2,000 square foot apartment, five exhibit rooms give visitors a brief but complete account of how the system of castrating men came into being, how the eunuchs' institution grew to become powerful political cliques and how the system finally ended with the death of the last eunuch in China, Sun Yaoting, in 1996.

    Bo Gu/ NBC News

    The museum dedicated to China's 2,000-year history of eunuchs displays a knife that was used in castration.

    The etymology of “eunuch” is the Greek word for “bed keeper.” Young boys’ penises and testicles were castrated before they were sent to serve in royal and aristocratic families as slaves – the practice was meant to ensure there was no chance of them sleeping with female members of the household or concubines.

    Records of eunuchs have been found in ancient Greece, Egypt, Rome, Turkey and Persia, but none of the other countries maintained the system for long. But the practice lasted for thousands of years in China.

    It’s hard to trace when exactly the first eunuch appeared in China, but the museum shows a picture of an oracle bone inscribed with the hieroglyphic word that means "eunuch" – a penis-shaped character with a blade right next to it. Hieroglyphics evolved during the Shang and Zhou dynasties (17th century B.C.-256 B.C.), but it wasn’t until the Eastern Han Dynasty (25 A.D-220 A.D.) that only castrated men were allowed to serve in royal families.

    The system of eunuchs reached its zenith in China’s Ming Dynasty (1368-1644) when eunuchs became the de facto rulers who controlled the imperial power and founded their own political parties and secret police. In the late Ming-era court officials even had to bribe the sterilized men to get access to the emperor.

    Zhu Youjian, the 16th and the last emperor of Ming Dynasty, had more than 100,000 eunuchs during his rule. The eunuch clique was so powerful, yet corrupt, that when Li Zicheng, the leader of an uprising during the late Ming dynasty, finally conquered the capital city, he kicked out all the eunuchs.

    The museum lists all of the best-known eunuchs in one exhibit room, of which the most famous is probably Zheng He (1371-1433), the mariner, explorer, diplomat and fleet admiral, who commanded voyages to Southeast Asia, South Asia, and East Africa. His travels were later remembered outside China as “Eunuch Sanbao to the Western Ocean.” The list of luminary eunuchs also includes Cai Lun (60-121), who is revered in China as the inventor of paper.

    Cruelest cut
    The most chilling and vivid display room shows the actual process of castration. A life-size diorama shows a young boy lying on a bed with his limbs tied down while three other men – one holding a simple apparatus like a knife, the other holding the boy’s legs, and one performing the surgery – conduct the operation without any anesthesia.

    The patients would stay in bed for months after the surgery until they could finally move again, others simply died in pain.

    Bo Gu, NBC News

    The tomb for the high-ranking eunuch Tian Yi sits right next to the museum.

    The penis and testicles, after being removed, were usually carefully wrapped up, put in a fine case and hung up on a roof beam in the boy’s house. They would eventually be buried together with the body when the man died, following the Chinese tradition of “dying a full-body death.”

    Some of the other museum displays show nicely sculptured tombstones, silk outfits senior eunuchs used to wear and a mummy excavated from nearby.

    One corner is devoted to Sun Yaoting, who served the last emperor of the Qing Dynasty and his concubines. Sun died at 94 years old in 1996; “The Last Eunuch of China” is a book about his life.

    Losing a man’s most important organ was never easy, which may explain why so many eunuchs donated the bulk of their money to Buddhist or Taoist temples in order to secure a different – and complete – afterlife.

  • ‘Let’s not make this an issue,’ says Karzai

    By Ali Arouzi, NBC News Correspondent

    KABUL – A clearly irritated President Hamid Karzai responded to a barrage of questions from journalists Monday about a report that his government has been the recipient of large sums of cash from the Iranian government.

    "The cash payments are done by various friendly countries to help the president's office and to help dispense assistance in various ways to the employees around here, to people outside,” a defensive Karzai said in English. He added, “This is transparent... This is nothing hidden and we are grateful to Iran for the help in this regard.”
    Karzai was responding to questions about a New York Times report that his chief of staff and most trusted confidant, Umar Daudzai, had been given a large plastic bag full of money by the Iranian ambassador, Feda Hussein Maliki, while sitting on an airport tarmac in Iran.

    He went on to say that he has received large bags full of money from the United States as well.

    “The United States is doing the same thing. They’re providing cash to some of our offices. If you would like to have the details, we’ll give you that, too.”

    In response to a follow-up question about the U.S., Karzai said, “It does give bags of money, yes. Yes, it does. Ma’am it’s all the same, so let’s not make this an issue.”

    Karzai suggested that the report about the cash payments from Iran might have been an attempt to at a smear campaign against Daudzai, his chief of staff. “In countries like ours, poor countries, patriotism comes at a cost,” Karzai said. “Maybe it is his turn to suffer too for his country.”

    Iran denies ‘bags of money’ claim
    In a bizarre twist, a statement posted on the Press TV website, the Iranian government’s English language TV channel, denied the claims of cash being paid to Karzai’s chief of staff.

    Iran's embassy in Kabul also dismissed the report by the New York Times claiming that it delivered “bags of money” to Karzai.

    In a statement issued on Monday, the Iranian embassy rejected the "false, ridiculous and insulting" claim by The New York Times. It said certain Western media make up such unfounded rumors to stir up public opinion and damage growing relations between the two neighboring countries.

    The statement emphasized that strong historical and cultural bonds between the Iranian and Afghan nations would not be affected by such propaganda and baseless rumors of Western media.

    The latest allegations of Iranian interference come at a critical time for Afghanistan.

    Afghanistan's neighbors, in particular Iran and Pakistan are jockeying for position amid frequent reports of meetings between Afghan officials and insurgents, with increasing evidence that a reconciliation process has begun.

  • She's a tease: Russia spy speaks - but says nothing

    By Yonatan Pomrenze, NBC News Producer

    MOSCOW – For fans of espionage news, this week in Russia was a busy one.

    It started Monday with Russian media reports that President Dmitry Medvedev granted awards to members of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service. The president’s press secretary said that among them were the 10 Russian agents who were arrested in the U.S. and swapped this summer for four men accused of spying for the West.

    Tuesday, though, brought even bigger news.

    The Russian version of Maxim magazine announced that it had the first interview with the most (in)famous of the 10 Russian agents, Anna Chapman. The magazine said that the interview and a revealing photo shoot would be in its next issue, which would hit newsstands here Thursday. A teaser video went up on Maxim’s website, and a longer, more detailed video was promised for the day that the magazine came out.

    Thursday morning came, but the magazine didn’t.

    “People have been asking for it all morning,” said one of sellers at the nine newsstands I went to in search of the magazine.

    Friday, though, the issue and the new video arrived.

    However, if you were looking for some insight into the inner workings of the Russian intelligence community, or about what exactly the agents were hoping to achieve in America, Maxim’s interview is a disappointment – questions about any of those topics were off-limits.

    Instead the interview focused on what Maxim knows best: flirting and seduction. But that doesn’t mean Chapman’s answers weren’t still cryptic and vague. For example:

    Q: Have you ever been so in love, that it made you do foolish things?

    A: I’ll answer like this: Even if I knew the world was ending tomorrow, I would still plant an apple tree today.

    Men’s mag fluff or hidden meaning? That’s for the reader to decide. Trying to pin down Chapman’s espionage credentials proved equally elusive:

    Q: Which men are easiest to seduce? Russians, British or Americans?

    A: Seduction, just like love and friendship, are the same everywhere. Most men can be divided into three categories: primitive – who need only sex. Smarter ones – who want to be loved. And the third group – those, who don’t only want to be loved, but who also want this love to be the biggest and most wonderful feeling in their life. With them it’s the most difficult, but it’s my favorite category.

    As much as the other nine agents have stayed out of the limelight, Chapman seems to be launching a very public – and revealing (the cover and interview featured images of her in states of undress) – campaign to stay in it.

    The Russian blogosphere is rife with speculation about her future. Will she become an actress and play herself in the story of the spies? Or will she become a politician with Putin’s dominant United Russia party?

    Her website so far just says “Coming Soon” over an enigmatic drawing of her with cryptic numbers coming down like rain.

    Like the Maxim interview, it’s long on promise but short on details as to what’s next for Russia’s most famous spy.

  • Is the Taliban really talking?

    By Ali Arouzi, NBC News Correspondent

    KABUL, Afghanistan – Talks aimed at ending the nine-year-old war in Afghanistan may be accelerating for the first time.

    In recent weeks, Afghanistan’s President Hamid Karzai has stepped up efforts aimed at forging reconciliation between the Taliban insurgency and his government and U.S.-led NATO troops, forming a 70-member peace council to oversee formal negotiations. During a speech on Sept. 28, Karzai broke into tears about the future of his country, and urged his Taliban “compatriots” to lay down their arms.

    His speech was one of the clearest signs yet that his government is willing to make a deal with the Taliban to end conflict here and start to rebuild the country.

    According to NATO and Afghan officials, senior Taliban members have been granted safe passage to travel from remote areas of Afghanistan and Pakistan to Kabul for talks.

    But can the longtime foes really work together?



    Strange bedfellows
    Abdul Hakim Mujahid, a former Taliban envoy who is a member of the newly formed peace council, expressed concern over the challenges of the unlikely alliance. If all parties stick to prior terms, including blacklists and sanctions, a compromise may not be possible, he said.

    Karzai and U.S officials demand that the Taliban renounce violence, cut ties to the al-Qaida network, and respect the Afghan constitution. Taliban commanders in turn demand all foreign troops leave Afghanistan before any negotiations even begin.

    “In my personal view, with these kinds of preconditions it is not workable. It will create more obstacles,” Mujahid told Reuters.

    Even getting Taliban leaders into a meeting seems like an insurmountable issue.

    During a press conference Thursday, Qiyamul-deen Kashaf, the spokesman for Afghanistan’s High Peace and Reconciliation Committee, was asked to confirm whether NATO was helping transport Taliban leaders in and out of Pakistan.

    Neither confirming nor denying the reports, Kashaf said disclosing any information about the complicated issue could jeopardize the process, and added that he couldn’t speak about it before Karzai does.

    However, he did say, “It is important that we guarantee their safety . . . that all armed groups should feel safe to sit at a meeting” and partake in negotiations.

    He also pointed out that during the Soviet invasion, all Afghans – including the Taliban – fought together against the U.S.S.R., and called the Taliban “our brothers.”

    Top Taliban there?
    But the level of participation by top Taliban officials is up for debate.

    Mullah Abdul Gani Baradar Baradar, the Taliban’s second-in-command, was the Taliban's overall military commander until he was arrested in Karachi last February by Pakistani security forces, where many believed he was still under custody. On Thursday, Britain’s Daily Telegraph reported that Baradar and three senior lieutenants were released from Pakistan custody and had traveled to Afghanistan under NATO guard for the talks.

    Gen. David Petraeus, the commander of NATO forces in Afghanistan, did say during a recent talk at a defense think tank in London that there were "several ongoing initiatives" to try to get the Taliban to the negotiating table.

    “In certain respects we do facilitate that, given that, needless to say, it would not be the easiest of tasks for a senior Taliban commander to enter Afghanistan and make his way to Kabul,” Petraeus said, adding, “if ISAF [NATO's International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan] were not willing and aware of it.”

    Not so fast
    But as with all things here in Afghanistan, there are conflicting reports.

    The Afghan Taliban has denied that any discussions are taking place. In a message posted on their web site, the group said that the notion of talks with the enemy was baseless and that negotiations were a waste of time.

    As for Baradar, the Taliban’s No. 2, there has been so much speculation on his whereabouts that no one is truly sure where he is.

    “He is still in Pakistan but being treated very well and as a guest,” one senior Pakistani security official told NBC News.

    Yet some Taliban sources have said that there were rumors of his release, and his family was waiting for him, but that he never showed up anywhere. Other NBC sources have said he was released from Pakistan custody, but had been told not to contact anyone. The Taliban Shura, the organization’s leadership, has been told not to contact him because he is wearing a chip and is spying for the U.S.

    A few years ago, negotiations would have been unthinkable. The idea that talks may be on the horizon and that the Afghan government has made statements that they are willing to negotiate with the Taliban is a major milestone.

    NBC News’ Carol Grisanti contributed to this report from Islamabad, Pakistan and Mushtaq Yusufzai from Peshawar, Pakistan.

  • Chinese ban on export of crucial minerals expands to U.S.

    BEIJING – China reportedly has halted the shipment of rare earth minerals to the U.S., in the latest sign of heightened economic tensions between the two super powers.

    The rare earth minerals ban, first reported by the New York Times citing anonymous industry sources Tuesday, rattled investors and politicians who fear the Chinese are using their dominance the industry as a form of economic warfare.

    Rare earth minerals are used in a wide variety of commercial and military applications ranging from precision guided smart bombs to efficient light bulbs to clean energy technology. It is said that over 50 pounds of rare earth metal can be found in a Toyota Prius automobile alone.

    And China now controls an estimated 95 percent of the world’s supply of the precious raw materials.

    Beijing quickly denied the reports that it halted exports Wednesday.

    "Reports in certain media that China will continue reducing rare earth export quotas next year are entirely groundless and this is purely a mistaken report," China’s commerce ministry said in a statement, Reuters reported.

    "China will keep supplying rare earths to the world, but will also continue imposing restrictions on the exploitation, production and exports of rare earths to protect these depletable resources," said the statement, adding that any limits would abide by global trade rules.

    Dangerous monopoly
    Whether or not the ban on exports to the U.S. is true, the fact that China could use its dominance of the world’s supply of the raw materials to project its power has raised alarm bells.


    At one time, the United States was self-sufficient in its extraction and manufacturing of rare earth metals, but ceded much of that production to China during the 1990s.

    A recent study by the U.S. Government Accountability Office confirmed the shift to Chinese dominance of the industry in chilling terms. “The United States previously performed all stages of the rare earth material supply chain, but now most rare earth materials processing is performed in China, giving it a dominant position that could affect worldwide supply and prices,” the GAO report read.

    There are fears that China is now beginning to use their dominance of the industry as a blunt diplomatic instrument.

    Just last month, Japan was slapped with a similar rare earth ban after the high-profile detainment of a Chinese fishing boat captain.

    China has denied that it banned shipments of rare earth minerals to Japan. But it seems a de facto ban is in place since China has subjected rare earth shipments destined to Japan to a battery of pre-shipment checks that has grinded shipments to a halt at Chinese customs offices.

    Paul Krugman, the New York Times op-ed columnist, called attention to the incident with Japan earlier this week, writing that he found the incident “deeply disturbing” for what it says about both the U.S. and China.

    “On one side, the affair highlights the fecklessness of U.S. policy makers, who did nothing while an unreliable regime acquired a stranglehold on key materials. On the other side, the incident shows a Chinese government that is dangerously trigger-happy, willing to wage economic warfare on the slightest provocation.”

    He wrote that China’s control of the industry has resulted in “a monopoly position exceeding the wildest dreams of Middle Eastern oil-fueled tyrants.”

    Trade war?
    The alleged export ban appears to be just the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the U.S. and China.

    Chinese custom officials reportedly began imposing restrictions on the export of the minerals on Monday morning, just hours after Zhang Guobao, a senior Chinese economic official, declared the U.S. “cannot win this trade fight,” during an unusual news conference on Sunday.

    Zhang, vice chairman of China’s National Development and Reform Commission, was chastising the U.S. for an announcement that the United States Trade Representative’s office would investigate whether or not Chinese subsidies of manufacturers of green technology such as wind turbines, solar energy products and fuel-efficient vehicles is in violation of international trade rules. The dispute could escalate to the U.S. filing formal charges against China with the WTO.

    Though the rare earth minerals ban and Zhang’s statement cannot be definitively linked, the announcement follows a pattern where China has used economic means to punish nations that have pursued policies deemed anti-Chinese by Beijing.

  • West get ready, here comes China 2.0

    By John W. Schoen, msnbc.com

    BEIJING — On a sultry September morning, in a brightly lit, air-conditioned Wal-Mart at the New World Shopping Center in Beijing's Chaoyang district, the search is on for everyday low prices.

    Shoppers stroll past bright red price signs adorned with large yellow numbers and the familiar six-point asterisk. The 1970s hit “Seasons in the Sun” wafts through speakers in the store. On the wall beyond the checkout lines, the faces of 16 Wal-Mart employees, their photos arranged in an inverted pyramid, smile down at paying customers.

    “The managers are at the bottom of the pyramid, supporting and maintaining a balance for the rest of the pyramid,” a caption explains. “They listen to the associates, guide, support and encourage and provide opportunities for every associate to be successful. They are the servant leaders of Wal-Mart.”

    China's own economic pyramid has become taller and steeper, forcing the government's “servant leaders” to scramble to keep a promise to China's 1.3 billion people that their society will remain in balance. If that balance is compromised, the result could be a wave of social upheaval not seen since the Tiananmen pro-democracy protests of 1989.

    Over the past 30 years, China’s red-hot economic growth has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty, reshaped the global economy and given rise to a new power on the global stage. But that breakneck growth has also created an expanding wealth gap, major environmental problems, widespread corruption, a growing imperative to innovate and popular pressure for political reforms.

    This country's “experiment” with capitalism can safely be deemed a success. China's economy, which lay in ruins in the late 1970s after the failed Cultural Revolution, has developed faster than any in history. China has emerged as a growing economic, political and military power.

    But as this phase of China's economic development draws to an end, a new phase has begun. Call it China 2.0.

    China’s Communist Party recently wrapped up four days of meetings to develop the country's next 5-year development plan, set to begin next year. In a communiqué, the central committee pledged "major breakthroughs in economic restructuring" to "maintain stable and relatively fast economic growth,” according Xinhua, the state-run news agency.

    But even China’s leaders worry about growing too fast. Premier Wen Jiabao said in March the expansion is "unbalanced, uncoordinated and unsustainable." To address that, the next five-year plan incorporates reforms already under way and charts a roadmap designed to keep the economy from veering off the track.

    Read more of John Shoen's report on the state of China's red hot economy and where its headed: West get ready, here comes China 2.0

  • China may have Hollywood dreams

    BEIJING – As China continues to flex its economic muscles, there are rumblings that it could begin to encroach on an all-American commodity: the Hollywood blockbuster.

    China’s ability to exert control over major industries has raised alarm bells recently. China allegedly banned the export of rare earth minerals to Japan over a recent diplomatic spate, raising fears in Washington that their dominance of the industry could affect America’s ability to build computers and weapons. And a group of state-back Chinese companies’ effort to take over a major fertilizer producer, which could affect world food supplies, has also gotten American lawmakers talking.

    Wang Zhao/AFP/Getty Images

    A couple walks pass a poster for the Hollywood disaster movie "2012" at a theater in Beijing in Dec. 2009.

    Could American movies be next?

    Raymond Zhou, an editorialist for China Daily, China’s English language newspaper, predicted in an August editorial that it may be sooner rather than later that China’s movie box office sales surpass those of the U.S. He also suggested that it’s conceivable we may see a major Hollywood studio owned and controlled by Chinese investors soon.

    It is easy to see why the always image-conscious Chinese government would support a Chinese company taking over a U.S. studio. China has long admired the power of Hollywood to project American soft power and shape international perceptions of the United States.

    A major Hollywood studio could help China burnish its standing internationally and combat what it views as the West’s framing of the global dialogue with Western principles and morals.


    Growing numbers
    In fact, many believe that China holds the keys to Hollywood’s long term prosperity. A quick glance at the numbers explains why.

    In 2009, the U.S. recorded $10 billion in total receipts and China reported $900 million. China’s sales are still modest when stacked against those of the U.S., but compared to just a few years ago, they’ve grown considerably. In 2004, China’s sales represented just about $200 million.

    That’s a big jump – especially considering that China currently only has an estimated 5,000 screens for its population of over 1.3 billion. Compare that to the 40,000 screens for the U.S. population of 300 million.

    The Chinese government has done its part to grow movie audiences in China by heavily investing in its domestic television and media industries.

    They have promoted the local film industry through easy loans and the rapid expansion of movie theaters throughout China’s cities. Reportedly two new movie theaters open up in China every day, with an estimated 35,000 theaters planned to open in the next five years. The Chinese government has also stepping up its effort to combat widespread film piracy – at least for domestically made movies. The government announced last week that they will begin charging Internet cafes, long-distance buses and other distributors for showing Chinese movies, beginning next year.

    Seeing ticket stubs beyond U.S. shores
    China and other foreign markets are already increasingly responsible for a larger part of a movie’s profit pie – foreign tickets add up to nearly 68 percent of all box office sales. Knowing that, it should come as no surprise that Hollywood studios are increasingly commissioning films that cater to a more international audience and have potential to score high box office sales abroad.

    This summer’s “The Karate Kid,” starring Jaden Smith and Jackie Chan might be the best example of a film that was clearly made to entertain audiences of different nationality – and it worked. International ticket sales actually surpassed U.S. sales. The film grossed $176 million domestically – but grossed $181 in international ticket sales, according to data on Boxofficemojo.com.

    And product placement in movies has increasingly shown Chinese sensibilities. In “Iron Man II” actress Scarlett Johansson was clothed head to toe in a popular Chinese clothing brand in one scene. The man responsible for that costume selection, Ben Ji of Angel Wings Entertainment, dreams that one day a James Bond film will feature a Chinese made car.

    A Chinese studio in Hollywood?
    With China growing as a bigger stakeholder in the moviemaking industry, men like Zhou have speculated that it is an eventuality that China will one day own or invest in a Hollywood studio.

    But given the current anti-Chinese business mood in the west, it would seem unlikely that such a sale would happen in the near future and not without significant blowback from major Hollywood players.

    However, such a sale would not be unprecedented. The 1989 sale of Columbia Pictures for $3.4 billion to Sony shows that American businesses are willing to entertain foreign offers for traditional Hollywood institutions.

    We’ll have to see how this story ends…

  • Keeping a keen eye on Ahmadinejad from Israel

    Paul Goldman/NBC News

    Some Israeli activists release blue and white ballons near the Lebanon border on Thursday.

    AVIVIM, Israel – As Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad spoke to a crowd of cheering Hezbollah supporters Thursday in a Lebanese village near Israel, a group of reporters gathered on this side of the border were calm, but alert.

    From our long camera lens, we could see the Hezbollah forces looking straight at us with their binoculars. It was a peaceful scene, but the air felt like it could explode at any moment.

    The press corps had gathered at the hillside village of Avivim, bordering the Lebanese town of Maroun Er Ras, Thursday to see how Ahmadinejad’s visit – which the U.S. and Israel called intentionally provocative – would play out.

    Ahmadinejad was speaking at a stadium in Bint Jbei, Lebanon, just a couple of miles from the Israeli border. The location of the speech was significant because the village was among the hardest-hit areas during the 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah war, and oil-rich Iran invested heavily to help rebuild it.

    The stadium, which we could not see from the border, was packed with thousands of cheering Hezbollah supporters waving Lebanese, Iranian and Hezbollah flags, according to the Associated Press.

    ANWAR AMRO/AFP/Getty Images

    Lebanese supporters of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wave Lebanese and Iranian flags during a mass rally he attended Thursday in the southern Lebanese village of Qana.

    Residents of southern Lebanon have reason to cheer Ahmadinejad – Iran has contributed an estimated $1 billion in aid to southern Lebanon since the 2006 Israeli-Hezbollah war, according to officials close to Hezbollah.

    From our perch, we could see a large physical example of Iran’s financial contribution to southern Lebanon. A copy of one of Islam’s holiest sites – the al-Aqsa mosque, considered to be Islam’s third holiest site that sits on the Temple Mount in East Jerusalem and is often a flashpoint of violent conflict between the Israelis and Palestinians – had been built, with Iranian funding, on the Lebanese border with Israel.

    We could see the golden dome shining across the valley split by a barbed wire fence and a U.N. observation post.

    Amid the media throng, some Israelis holding blue and white balloons symbolizing the Israeli flag had gathered. Ayoub Kara, a member of the Israeli Knesset, held a makeshift press conference and said, "We’re not afraid, we need peace.”

    Then they released the balloons with the hope the wind would carry them across the border in a sign of peace. But the weather didn’t cooperate and an amused, but disappointed press corps only had pictures of the balloons flying back into Israel.
    Two ultra-religious Jews held up posters on the border for Hezbollah fighters to see. The posters read “Ahmadinejad, we’re not an occupying force, we are occupied ourselves.”

    Ahmadinejad’s visit to Lebanon is seen by many here as an attempt to further Iran’s control over Lebanon and to signal to Israel that any attempt to hit Iran's nuclear plants would result in the unleashing of hundreds of missiles by the Iranian backed Hezbollah fighters who control southern Lebanon.

    Israeli jets and choppers flew above the border around the time Ahmadinejad arrived at the stadium. A longtime local resident told me that military jets and chopper rarely fly overhead. He took it as an indication that the Israelis wanted the president to know they were up there watching him.

  • Hoping for a happy ending in Chile

    By Kerry Sanders, NBC News Correspondent
    Reporter’s Notebook

    COPIAPO, Chile – I’ve been reporting the news for 28 years, and I have never been as personally wrapped up in a drama as I have been on this story.

    I remember my mentor, NBC News’ veteran Jim Bennett, telling me: “As a reporter you are there to observe, and nothing more.”

    But this story is different. I’m reporting on the 33 Chilean miners who have been trapped half a mile underground for over two months. We just learned today that rescue workers are hoping to start evacuating the miners at midnight local time Tuesday.

    I know there are still dangerous moments to come, but I’m rooting for a happy ending.

    I could be wrong, but I think that since we so rarely see a happy ending unfold in real time, everyone is anxiously awaiting some good news.

    AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko

    SLIDESHOW: Chilean mine collapse

    Hard to contain excitement
    It’s obvious my detached impartiality washed away here when the drilling team punched through the final few feet on Saturday morning.

    I was live on NBC’s Today Show and, as the word spread of the success, I felt a rush of victory. I was caught up in a moment that put the rescue one major step closer to success.

    If you watch the video below, it’s obvious that I couldn’t contain my excitement.


    Waiting for the big moment
    At this point, over 1,500 journalists have converged at the site of the sand-swept mine from all over the world. I’ve seen teams from China, Russia, England, but also from Finland, Poland, even the Czech Republic.

    The San Jose Mine sits in the middle of the Atacama Desert. Were you to come here, you’d drive through a remarkable landscape where little thrives. A few dime-sized flowers cling to life in this, the driest desert on Earth.

    And like those plants, there are the 33 miners: Men who beat the odds by surviving 17 days on what was designed to be two days worth of tuna and peaches. Those men have now survived a total of 68 days as teams on the surface fight to save their lives.

    When they emerge, we’ve been told a Chilean TV station, TVN, will focus its camera on the hole.

    One-by-one, the survivors will enter a different world. They won’t see the hundreds of cameras positioned just down the hill, but they may hear the expected cheers a half-mile away.

    But it’s fair to say the whole world will be watching.

    I can’t predict my reaction, but like the families who have held vigil here on the surface, I’m excited.

    Isn’t it about time we all shared some good news?

    Who are the Chilean miners? Click here to learn more about the miners

  • What are the roots of Pakistan's challenges?

    Beset by devastating floods, increased terror attacks, and political instability, Pakistan's precarious state is a matter of global concern. "Crisis Guide: Pakistan," the Council on Foreign Relations' (CFR) new interactive multimedia feature, examines the roots of the country's challenges.

    The array of Pakistan's challenges include: an increasing number of terrorist groups; a growing nuclear arsenal that could become vulnerable to these groups; a long-standing rivalry with India and troubled border with conflict-ridden Afghanistan; and the ongoing power struggle between a strong military and a weak civilian government. The guide draws on expert analysis to demonstrate what these problems mean for the region and the world, and to explore potential directions for the country.

    Click here to explore the CFR's informative Crisis Guide: Pakistan.

    Crisis Guide: Pakistan

  • In China, citizens find ways to learn of Nobel prize

    By NBC News’ Eric Baculinao and Bo Gu

    BEIJING – The news that jailed Chinese dissident Liu Xiaobo had been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize created a lot of excitement among the foreign media here.

    One of their first ports of call Friday was a housing compound in a back alley near China’s Ministry of National Defense in the western part of Beijing, hoping to see and hear from his wife, Liu Xia.

    Mike Clarke/AFP/Getty Images

    Near the China Liason Office in Hong Kong, where Chinese residents have greater freedom of speech than mainland China, protestors celebrate Liu Xiaobo being awarded the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize on Friday.

    But after a couple of hours of waiting – and some scuffles with Chinese security personnel – it dawned on the crowd that there would be no appearance by Liu Xia. “No, she cannot come out,” said, Liu Xiaoquan, Liu Xiabo’s younger brother, a hint that authorities were taking preventive measures.

    Which, indeed, they did. After several hours of a semi-standoff, Liu Xia was taken from her home by plainclothes police officers.

    “They are forcing me to leave Beijing," she told Reuters during a phone interview as plainclothes police waited for her outside.

    Preventive measure also were being taken by the government-controlled media.

    China Central TV’s 7 p.m. national newscast reported on Prime Minister Wen Jiabao’s trip to Europe, the status of China’s eleventh iteration of the “Five-Year-Plan” for the economy (the first version began after the revolution in 1949) and the successful artificial insemination of a panda that lead to the birth of two panda cubs in Spain – but not a word on Liu Xiaobo was mentioned.


    Actually, up until Friday, many Chinese people had never even heard Liu Xiaobo’s name before – because his political writings are considered to be subversive by the government, his name has long been censored from the media.

    Soon after the Nobel announcement, major Chinese Web portals like Sina, Netease and Sohu all redirected their previous special reports on this week’s Nobel prizes to their homepages or simply displayed a message saying “deleted.” And reports on the Peruvian writer Vargas Llosa winning the Nobel Literature Prize were demoted on web site homepages and buried among hundreds of other headlines. China Mobile users also found it impossible to send out any text messages mentioning “Liu Xiaobo.”

    Hong Kong-based Phoenix TV did report on the award, but in the context of the foreign ministry’s condemnation of the honor.

    And broadcasts of CNN and BBC, which are usually available in upscale hotels and places where foreigners gather, were blacked out when the Nobel announcement was made and during subsequent reports on the award.

    ‘Finally this day has arrived!’
    Despite the government-controlled media blackout, the Chinese blogosphere and microblogs still exploded with excitement as soon as the news came out that Liu had been awarded the prize.

    On Twitter, the popular web site that can only be accessed via proxy servers in China, it seemed like almost every tweet was about Liu winning the honor.
    “I’m in ecstasy,” wrote Wang Dan, a prominent student leader at the Tiananmen Square protests in Beijing in 1989 who now lives in the U.S. “Finally this day has arrived!”

    Reports on dinner celebrations and firecrackers popping in major cities spread online and there were more than a few tweets from people saying they had shed tears in exhilaration at the news.

    There were also sarcastic comments making the rounds, too. “The Nobel Committee must be broke! So they are giving the award to someone who cannot come to get his money!” or “Congratulations to Chinese judges who sent Liu Xiaobo to prison! They just won the Nobel Shame Prize!”

    Outside the Twitter world, under the surveillance of the government’s censorship, Netizens still found ways to express joy and anger about the government’s response to the award. One person wrote, “Good new, good news, Chinese! You know what I mean!”

    And on Douban.com, another popular Chinese Web portal, a user named “Chengcheng” simply posted links to reports on the win from the world’s major newspapers with Liu Xiaobo’s photo and wrote, “He’s in the headlines of all these media” without writing Liu’s name.

    His post was followed by comments from other users who didn’t mention Liu’s name, but pointed out the constant struggle with censorship. “Yeah he’s on headlines of English media, but not on Chinese ones,” one person wrote. Another wrote, “Last year everyone talked about Obama winning Nobel, this year…nothing.”

    Another stop in a long journey
    The prize was clearly a big boost for China’s dissident community, which has been largely harassed and marginalized by China’s economic achievements and dramatic rise on the global stage.

    Qi Zhiyong, who lost a limb during the 1989 armed crackdown at Tiananmen Square, said the prize was “a confirmation and promotion of Chinese struggle for democracy.” He quickly added, “but it also means we have to redouble our efforts to realize that day,” he said.

    Peking University professor Xia Yeliang, who co-signed the controversial Charter 08 manifesto that led to Liu’s imprisonment, boldly declared to a group of foreign journalists that “the one-party dictatorship will be ended within ten years.”

    For Liu himself, the prize marks the culmination of a long journey that began in the late spring of 1989. He cut short his fellowship at Columbia University in New York to join the historic pro-democracy movement at Tiananmen Square.

    The Tiananmen movement was “teaching China’s government on how to govern in the ways of democracy and rule of law,” he declared in a manifesto that led to a hunger strike in June 1989.

    Nearly 20 years later, he was still promoting the same message. “The awakening Chinese citizens increasingly recognize that freedom, equality and human rights are universal values and that democracy, a republic, and constitutionalism are the hallmarks of modern governance,” declared the Charter 08 manifesto that Liu helped compose in 2008. That document eventually led to an 11-year prison sentence.

    “He has never thought of giving up, and I cannot persuade him to stop,” his wife told NBC News before the news of the Nobel award.

    “You only have one life, so I let him do what he wants to do,” she added.

  • Deserted beaches, unspoiled nature, 800 endemic species, where? Yemen

    Richard Engel, NBC News Correspondent

    SOCOTRA ISLAND, Yemen - In our shrinking and discovered world, there remain at least a few undiscovered places that still seem truly lost. The small Arabian island of Socotra is tinged with romance and spirit of exploration.

    Perhaps it's the exotic trees or flocks of yellow faced vultures, or the beaches, undisturbed by greasy sunbathers.
    Socotra is 250 miles south of the Arabian Peninsula, technically, part of Yemen, but 30 million years of isolation have made the island unique.

    The relaxed pace of life is completely dominated by nature, so much the people on the island use their own calendar with 24 months, each month marking a small seasonal change. There is a month for when it rains, a month for when the wind blows and even a month for when crabs cover the beaches. Socotra has more than 800 endemic species of plants and animals. Only Hawaii and the Galapagos have more.

    Photo NBC News' Mohamed Muslemany

    A deserted beach on the island of Socotra.

    About 50,000 people live on the island - most are fishermen. There is a small tourism industry, but only 140 Americans came here last year.

    “This is about as crowded as it gets,” said David Stanton, an American environmentalist who has been studying Socotra for years. I asked him why it is still so untouched by tourism?

    Photo NBC News' Mohamed Muslemany

    Some of Socotra's 5,000 dragon trees.

    “It has a lot to do with the perception of Yemen as being a dangerous place,” said Stanton.

    “Is safe for people to come here?” I asked.

    “Of course, absolutely, 100 percent.”

    Watch Richard Engel’s video above to learn more about the untouched island of Socotra.

  • 'Nobody will drive and take fuel to NATO'

    ISLAMABAD, Pakistan – Jan Mohammed led me across the muddy yard packed with burned and still smoldering fuel tankers.

    "If we don't have any security, how can we go up there?” he asked. “Nobody will drive and take fuel to NATO. It's impossible."

    He was referring to the Khyber Pass in Pakistan's northwest, a key route for supplies heading to the war in Afghanistan.

    Aamir Qureshi/AFP/Getty Images

    Pakistani drivers sit on a burnt out NATO supply oil tanker Monday morning after an attack on the outskirts of Islamabad.

    Three charred shells of former oil tanker trucks belonged to him. "First they burned the tires," he said, and then flayed his arms around to illustrate the inferno that followed.

    His drivers had been sleeping in their cabs, but ran to safety when they heard the first shots fired by about a dozen gunmen, who arrived on motorcycles during the pre-dawn attack on Monday.

    Others were not so luckily. At least four died in the attack, and many more were injured. Yet few of them seemed surprised by what had happed.

    Sitting ducks
    "No security," said one driver, shaking his head, his arm bandaged from when he had fallen while escaping. That sentiment was echoed by several others who were victimized by the attack. One truck driver had salvaged two small mango plants from the shell of his cab, which he picked up along the route and planned to take home with him.


    There were 55 tankers lined up in the group, some 20 of which were damaged in Monday’s attack. They had parked just outside Islamabad, Pakistan's capital, forced to wait – like sitting ducks, in hindsight – because of the closure of the border by the Pakistani authorities.

    One driver pointed with disdain at a housing complex across the road, one of several large areas here reserved for military officers. "Maybe they came from there," he said. Apparently it’s not only the Americans who sometimes wonder where the Pakistani military stands on the ongoing conflict.

    The Pakistan authorities say they don't have the manpower to secure the convoys, which are not their responsibility anyway. The Pakistan authorities say it is up to the contractors to sort out their own security.

    Dangerous supply route
    Pakistan is the main route for non-lethal supplies for U.S and allied forces fighting in Afghanistan. It can take days for supply vehicles to travel up from the port in Karachi, across Pakistan, and into Afghanistan. There are two main border crossing points, one to the south, in Baluchistan, and the other at the end of the Khyber Pass in Pakistan's northwest.

    It is this second crossing that was closed by Pakistan late last week, in an apparent response to a border incursion by NATO helicopter gunships, which killed three Pakistani border guards. On Monday, NATO expressed regret for last week’s helicopter attack, saying the casualties were “unintended.”

    Attacks on convoys are not uncommon, but it seems to have become open season since the border closure backed up hundreds of tankers and trucks. There have been at least five attacks on the supply convoys since the border was closed. The latest attack happened on Tuesday when a small bomb damaged a truck that was parked alongside about 100 other trucks waiting to cross into Afghanistan. However, the bomb failed to ignite the fuel, and there were no casualties.

     

    Ian Williams/ NBC News

    The tankers attacked just outside Islamabad Monday.

    The Pakistan government says the border will be open "soon," but has given no firm date. Meantime, the supply route to Afghanistan remains dangerously exposed.

    It also comes at a time when drone attacks in the tribal areas are running at record levels. These are not popular among Pakistanis, though the government has been willing to turn a blind eye.

    But analysts say the Pakistanis want to send a message to Washington – they can't be taken for granted and won't tolerate flagrant border violations.

    Meantime, though, Jan Mohammed surveyed the charred remains of what had been a lucrative business.

    "Afghanistan's at war," he said, "but our tankers are safer on that side of the border."

    Related link: New York Times: 'U.S. military orders less dependence on fossile fuels'

  • Father: 'I don’t want them to ever go back into a mine'

    By Kerry Sanders, NBC News Correspondent

    COPIAPO, Chile – The 33 miners who are trapped in a Chilean gold and copper mine marked off Day 60 on Monday as their families keep an anxious vigil on the surface.

    One of them, Alfonso Avalos, says he’s feeling useless. The 52-year-old miner wants to dig, he wants to help his trapped sons – but all he can do is wait around, a half mile above the collapsed mine.
    Alfonso and his family sit idle in the Atacama Desert. They occasionally smile when they share stories about Florenzio Avalos, 31, and Renan Avalos, 29.

    To better understand what the miners face in their daily jobs, Alfonso and his brother, Wilson, 37, invited me to visit the nearby Clara Mine, which was closed about a year ago when the gold yield was considered too limited to support an expensive digging operation.

    They led me through the cave entrance and in less than 10 minutes, I could no longer see any light from the surface. The only light came from our head-lamps.

    The tunnel down was tall enough for a truck to drive down and wide enough for two vehicles to pass. We carefully walked down a 30-degree slope, and while the path was relatively clear, there were a lot of rocks that would be easy to trip over. High above us, perhaps as tall as the second story of a house, I could see thin stalactites dripping droplets of mineral water.

    A photo of Florenzio Avalos, 31, one of the trapped miners. His father Alfonso Avalos is praying for his safety and hopes he does not return to work in the mines if he survives.

    As we walked down about a mile, Alfonso told me that it was the first time in his career that he felt nervous being inside a mine. And he’s worried about his sons, once they are again above ground.

    “I don’t want them to ever go back into a mine,” he said.

    Miners live by a code: Do not talk about the dangers of the job because that could bring bad luck. But with this disaster, that code has now been broken.

    Alfonso said among the family, his sons used to would quietly complain to him that the mine was unsafe. He added, “They would tell me they tell their bosses but no one listens.”

    And the reason they kept working? “Ah, the money! These are good paying jobs and without an education, there’s not much else we can do.”

    A race to reach the miners
    Meantime, the drilling efforts have moved closer to the trapped men as three engineering teams use three different approaches.
    Team A includes engineers from South Africa; Team B has some Americans; and Team C has Canadians.

    The South African team is closest, a mere 396 feet away as of Monday.

    But the operation is now on hold until Wednesday as the drill bit has dulled, and the replacement part won’t be ready until mid-week.

    Photo by Jim Craven/ NBC News

    An inside look at the Clara Mine, a former gold mine that is near the San Jose Mine where 33 miners have been trapped for 60 days.

    That leaves the Americans most likely to punch a 28-inch wide shaft to the men first. They’re now 465 feet away.

    Unlike the other two teams, the U.S. already has a so-called pilot hole down to the men. First they drilled a 5 inch-wide shaft. Then it was opened to 12 inches. Now the engineers are creating a 28-inch-wide-hole which will be just big enough for the escape capsules to navigate.
    As the U.S. team drills down, upwards of 20 tons of rock is falling in on the trapped miners. They’re working in three 11-man shifts to clear that debris, in effect working to save their own lives.

    One question yet to be answered: Will the hole that is ultimately used require a sleeve? The initial thoughts were to link a pipe down the hole, and as the pipe went in, grease the inside for the capsules trips up and down.

    But now some say that will delay the rescue by as much as 11days. And since the drilled holes are not direct, some pipes will have to be fashioned in unique shapes to accommodate the curves.

    And then there’s the whispered political pressure to get the job done. Chile’s President Sebastián Piñera has an important meeting in Europe in mid-October, and rescue crews here say they’ve been told the president wants to personally witness the rescue before he leaves.

    No one would be happier if the rescue happens sooner than later than the families of waiting to come to the surface.

  • Musharraf: A blast from Pakistan’s past or a glimpse at its future?

    Reuters / Toby Melville

    Former Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf addresses members of Britain's Pakistani community at the New Bingley Hall, in Birmingham on October 2.

    BY Carol Grisanti, NBC News Producer

    LONDON – Pledging to bring change to Pakistan’s widely discredited political establishment, the country’s former army strongman has vowed to run for president in the 2013 general election.

    “I want to be elected through a democratic process,” General Pervez Musharraf, who swept away a democratically elected but corruption-riddled civilian government in a 1999 coup, told a couple hundred cheering supporters at a posh private club in London on Friday.

    While few Pakistanis ever believed that their former president would do what old generals are supposed to do and “just fade away,” Musharraf has seized a moment of intense political turmoil to launch his political comeback from exile.

    ‘Human beings make mistakes’
    Musharraf, relaxed and sartorially elegant in finely cut gray wool suit, admitted to errors during his rule, especially in his ninth and last year as the country’s military dictator. (He fired the chief justice of the Supreme Court, suspended the constitution and declared a state of emergency, among other things.)

    “Human beings make mistakes,” the 67-year-old said. “I take this opportunity to apologize.”

    It was a powerful moment. This was the first Pakistani leader ever to admit faults in his leadership and then tell the nation he was sorry.

    Playing to the one million Pakistanis living in Britain and the even more millions listening back home, Musharraf said he learned his lessons and was ready to lead again.

    He vowed to bring Pakistan away from its feudal culture, referring to the beleaguered government of Asif Ali Zardari, the current president and widower of assassinated Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto. He also promised that his new political party, The All Pakistan Muslim League, would unite all Pakistanis regardless of sect, religion or tribe.

    Now may be the right time for Musharraf’s re-emergence.

    His charisma complimented by his innate military bearing may help convince many of his fellow Pakistanis that he is the man to bring change. Many are unhappy with a spiralling Islamic insurgency, a collapsing economy, and the government’s handling of the worst floods in the country’s history.

    “Musharraf is trying to capture the present mindset among Pakistanis, especially among the younger people,” said Humayun Gauhar, a prominent political and military analyst. “The younger generation craves a new political system, they want to break away from the feudal class and the ruling elite who behave like they own the county.”

    Popular on Facebook
    The former general does have a narrow base of political support back in Pakistan and is popular on Facebook, where many of his hundreds of thousands of followers are under 30 years old. Still, an election win would be difficult.

    During his party’s official debut, Musharraf spoke in Urdu for an hour and then for another hour in English. He warned of the growing gap between the very rich and the very poor in his country and said Pakistanis are also frustrated by the country’s rapid economic decline.

    But many Pakistanis blame Musharraf for the countless problems the country faces today.

    An overwhelming majority in the country are anti-American and accuse him of selling out to president George W. Bush after the Sept 11 attacks in 2001, when he allied Pakistan with the U.S. war on terror.

    That alliance propelled the fiercely independent Pashtun tribes in the northwest of the country to join forces with the Taliban and al-Qaida to fight the U.S. and the Pakistani government. The tribes felt betrayed – they still regard the Afghan war along their borders as America’s war against the Pashtuns.

    In London, the former commando defended his stance against the militants and insisted that unless Pakistan remained part of the war against extremism “that fight cannot succeed.” In his party’s manifesto, he declared a “zero tolerance for terrorism.”

    But Musharraf’s critics accuse him of playing a double game while in power – banning some militant groups while turning a blind eye toward those who served the army’s interests against archrival India.

    ‘Chance to fill a vacuum’
    Pakistani author and journalist, Zahid Hussain, said he had been skeptical about Musharraf’s political launch until he heard him speak.

    “I think he could have a chance to fill a vacuum in the country,” Hussain said. “He might be able to mobilize a large section of the population, including the business community, who are completely fed up with the present system. I am not saying he can do it, I’m saying he might have a chance to do it.”

    If some were contemplating that perhaps times weren’t so bad after all under Musharraf, back home TV channels devoted hours of airtime to leaders of opposition parties and pundits who gave him no chance at all.

    Not that many are giving the present government much of a chance of finishing its full 5-year term, either. In fact, most Pakistanis feel things have never been worse, but few know how to fix the country’s entrenched problems.

    Requesting anonymity, a close aide of Pakistan’s military chief, General Ashfaq Kayani, said his boss has definitely ruled out a military coup. The main opposition leader, Nawaz Sharif, does not have the numbers in parliament to call for a vote of no confidence against the government.

    That leaves the Supreme Court.

    The judges are angling for a showdown with President Zardari, perhaps this month, to remove the immunity he enjoys as the country’s president and restore old corruption cases against him. In that case, Zardari is expected to dig in his heels and fight back.

    In the more than 60 years since the British partitioned the Indian subcontinent and Pakistan became a separate state, the contenders for the country’s top job – always recycled among a Bhutto, a Sharif or an army general – have thrived on the urgency and the uproar of the moment to rise phoenix-like from the ashes.

    If Musharraf does attempt a return, he too would risk arrest for treason or deportation – reminiscent of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif when they tried to re-launch their political comebacks from London.

    Then there are the dangers of assassination from the militants he tried to eliminate when he was in office. Musharraf said he is not deterred.

    “I am not afraid,” he declared.

    Such is the way of Pakistani politics.

    NBC’s Fakhar Rehman contributed reporting from Islamabad.